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LEAP is proud to present the promotion of its pilot-year of Political Anticipation training :
Baudouin De Sonis, Executive director e-forum, member of Academia Diplomatica Europaea, historian of the future, Belgium
Bruno Paul, Country Leader for Methods and tools / France Offering Manager for Agile chez Atos Origin, France
Jérôme Defaix, Pôle emploi (Employment agency), Directorate general for Information systems, France
Jean-Emmanuel Gilbert, SME CEO, France
Karim Naidji, Researcher and consultant, France
Ludovic Follot, Free-lance consultant - Telecom and information technologies, France
Michaël Timmermans, Gas Operator (Energy), Project manager "A travers les Arts !" asbl (Social) - Member of Newropeans’ CD (Political), Belgium
Sébastien Rouxel, Cost controller – Member of FESTO EURL steering committee, France
These eight people, coming from various sectors (finance, social affairs, journalism, chemistry, management, diplomacy), all readers of the GEAB, followed the three days of training proposed this year 2009/10 by LEAP, wrote high quality anticipations, and were thus awarded the LEAP Académie Certificate.
Yesterday’s anticipation is today’s news!
For 100 euros TTC, get codes (for 1 month) and download all the archive-issues of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (1).
(1) Important! This offer includes ALL past issues BUT the last 7 ones
Civis Memoria* has interviewed Franck Biancheri on the decisive role he played in the launching of the Erasmus programme in 1987. The video of the interview (in French) is now available online from their website.
*CivisMemoria is a website recently created by historians and journalists in partnership with Historia, Magnum and Le Point, whose ambition is to be "a library dedicated to Men’s memory with a vocation to preserve and share the memories of those whose destiny crossed History".
Appointment! This video, among other documents, will be presented in the French Senate on June 7th, during a day of European history (Civis Memoria’s workshop from 3 to 5 pm - free entrance!).
Website access 
Global systemic crisis / Second half of 2010: The global system’s four single points of failure
The second half of 2010 will thus correspond to a new step in the global geopolitical dislocation, characterized by an acceleration in the process of strategic, financial, economic and social convulsions centered on four single points of failure of the international system... (page 2)
Western public debt: When insolvency becomes intolerable
Between now and the end of 2010 the whole world will have learned all the lessons from the « Greek crisis ». In fact, there are only two lessons to learn from… (page 5)
European austerity: When contextual growth is abandoned in favour of structural stability
In speaking of the Eurozone we have written about « a policy » of austerity and not « policies of austerity » as indeed Germany now sets the standards on the subject... (page 8)
Chinese inflation: When China is going to begin exporting its inflation
As anticipated by LEAP/E2020, the Chinese new impetus plan is coming to an end and opens up two connected problems... (page 12)
US contraction: From « hidden mass austerity » to « imposed Federal austerity »
The November 2010 mid-term elections will be the first electoral test of a United States in crisis... (page 14)
Second series of elements for a methodology of political anticipation: Questions about source material and team management
Second series of excerpts from the Manual of Political Anticipation which LEAP will publish in October 2010. (page 19) (Learn more)
Strategic and operational recommendations for the second half of 2010
US municipal bond market (« munis »): The major shock
Currencies: The hurricane will strengthen with even higher waves!
World stock markets face the unthinkable
Gold, cash, precious metals, real estate… (page 23)
The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
Those polled are now unanimously agreed (a rare case for the GlobalEurometre) calling for the establishment of European and Asiatic rating agencies so as to no longer depend on the goodwill of Moody’s, Fitch and Standard & Poor’s.… (page 26)
Special subscribers’ announcements
EU-Russia seminar, Nice, September 23/24 septembre, 2010
Political Anticipation Academy, cycle 2010-2011 (page 30)
LAST PAPERS
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Each day the news confirm the extent to which the global systemic crisis has now entered into the phase of global geopolitical dislocation, even if the media only timidly begin to interpret the historic upheavals which unfold before our own eyes. For LEAP/E2020, the second half of 2010 will ...
"In the geopolitical sphere today, … , it is not unreasonable to say that, while the great continental powers in Eurasia, Russia, China and India, are in an excellent state of economic growth, technological development and growing political influence, the great maritime powers, like the United ...
Fear and Loathing in Brussels On February 24, 2010, Herman Van Rompuy, the “visage de l’Europe” [63] by dint of the Lisbon Treaty, delivered his first speech to the European Parliament in his new capacity as President of the European Council. Midway through the speech Van Rompuy joked that, due ...
As the drama unfolds and the plot thickens, new actors join the stage and the tension rises. Purgation, or catharsis, releases emotions at the final stage of Greek tragedies. We may soon find out what form this will take in the real life drama the Greek economy is going through today, with or ...
Executive Summary: • The current dispute between Malaysia and Indonesia over the question of cultural copyright has led to instances of mob activism in the streets of Jakarta and other cities and the rising of tempers on both sides. • However it should be noted that the sudden rise of ...
As the debate rages over Manuel Barroso’s renewal at the head of the European Commission, everyone seems to forget that this year is also the 10th anniversary of Santer’s Commission collective resignation on grounds of ill-management and corruption scandals. According to Newropeans, and to all ...
This paper has been prepared on the basis of the report delivered by the author at the round table session “Competitiveness of Russian insurance companies” in Finance Academy under the Government of the Russian Federation on April, 24th 2009 Topicality of the issue The course of crisis ...
Sometimes money is compared with the blood of the economy. The credit crisis painfully demonstrated, that the economy depends on a permanent infusion of credits. As soon as the banks deliver a bit less credit, enterprises fail and the mass dismissals succeed each other. We are made to believe, ...
Ladies and Gentlemen, Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a crisis that will take at least a decade to resolve, accompanied by a whole series of tragedies and ferment? Therefore, this ...
TABLE OF CONTENTS I- Preamble II- Strategic and operational perspective III- Work synthesis Introduction 1. EU-Russia strategic cooperation in the field of finance and economy: how to contribute to found a new sound and balanced economic and financial order? 2. EU-Russia strategic ...