NEWS

LEAP/E2020 offers the GEAB archives to 100 academic libraries worldwide!

Taking into consideration numerous demands coming from the academic world to have access to past issues of the GEAB in the framework of university reaserch-studies, LEAP/E2020 has decided to offer to 100 academic libraries the GEAB archives (for the exclusive use of the concerned university). Archives for the year 2006 and 2007 are already available as part of this offer. The year 2008 will be available from May 2009 onward.

To enjoy this opportunity, please send us an official request from one of your library’s managers: geab@leap2020.eu


Video - The day I convinced Mitterand to reactivate the Erasmus programme, by Franck Biancheri

Civis Memoria* has interviewed Franck Biancheri on the decisive role he played in the launching of the Erasmus programme in 1987. The video of the interview (in French) is now available online from their website.

*CivisMemoria is a website recently created by historians and journalists in partnership with Historia, Magnum and Le Point, whose ambition is to be "a library dedicated to Men’s memory with a vocation to preserve and share the memories of those whose destiny crossed History".

Appointment! This video, among other documents, will be presented in the French Senate on June 7th, during a day of European history (Civis Memoria’s workshop from 3 to 5 pm - free entrance!).


GEAB N°41 (January 16, 2010) - Contents

Calendar 2010 – 2020 / The « tragic twilight » of the world-before-the-crisis

The publication of this first GEAB of the year, where we usually publish our anticipations for the next twelve months, exceptionally coincides with the beginning of a new decade and, what is more, a decade which all careful observers feel will mark an upheaval in the world order. Our team has seized this occasion to give our subscribers the benefit of a rational geopolitical « dive » into what the coming decade holds for us… (page 2)

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’15 UP AND 15 DOWN’, THIRTY KEY TRENDS FOR 2010 – Fifteen topics which are going to increase in importance during 2010 / Fifteen key subjects which are going to fade away between now and the end of 2010

The US Federal reserve; The Very Great US Depression; The future of the United Kingdom; Global warming; Gold; Yuan; Unemployment and social dislocation; Global geopolitical dislocation; Eurozone; Speculative bubbles; Dollar, Pound Sterling and Yen; Greece as a Eurozone menace; Latin America; BRIC summits; Global recovery; Globalisation; EU governance; China’s economic miracle; The likelihood of a NATO victory in Afghanistan; G20; The middle-East “Peace Process”; State bankruptcies; Israel-USA/Iran conflict; Social safety net systems; Trade blocs; US T-bonds; Tax reductions; Nicolas Sarkozy… (page 8)

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The Decade 2010 – 2020: Towards a knockout victory by gold over the Dollar

We have often reminded readers in different GEAB issues that gold constitutes both a medium/long term investment intended to protect one’s capital against the risk of a loss in value of paper currencies and financial assets, and an eventual means of payment in the event of a very serious monetary crisis. In these two cases the choice of placing a portion of one’s assets in gold is a response to anticipating events and risks in the coming years (and not the coming weeks or months). For this GEAB N°41, a special edition at the beginning of a new decade, it seems opportune to LEAP/E2020 to put forward its anticipations on gold’s progress for 2010 – 2020, completing what the team wrote in issue N°34 of the GEAB in April 2009… (page 19)

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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses

Citizens’ discontent with European government action compared to the expectations of their people climbs slightly, though remaining at very high levels (96%). The « Lisbon Treaty » effect clearly hasn’t happened.… (page 24)

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LAST PAPERS

Public announcement GEAB N°41 (January 16, 2010)

The US Federal Reserve is no longer able, in reality, to continue its multi-decade combat against the « barbarous relic » in order to guarantee the supremacy of the US currency at the centre of the international monetary system. For LEAP/E2020 the decade which has just begun will be clearly ...


by Matthew Omolesky *

"Tous ces personnages ne s’emparent si fortement de notre attention que parce que ce sont les signes de cette grande histoire…qui raconte la marche de la société des hommes et cherche ses destinées futures dans ses destinées passées" (Prosper de Barante, Histoire des ducs de Bourgogne, 1824-1828). ...


Executive Summary: • The current dispute between Malaysia and Indonesia over the question of cultural copyright has led to instances of mob activism in the streets of Jakarta and other cities and the rising of tempers on both sides. • However it should be noted that the sudden rise of ...


by Franck Biancheri, Newropeans President

As the debate rages over Manuel Barroso’s renewal at the head of the European Commission, everyone seems to forget that this year is also the 10th anniversary of Santer’s Commission collective resignation on grounds of ill-management and corruption scandals. According to Newropeans, and to all ...


This paper has been prepared on the basis of the report delivered by the author at the round table session “Competitiveness of Russian insurance companies” in Finance Academy under the Government of the Russian Federation on April, 24th 2009 Topicality of the issue The course of crisis ...


by Hector R. Sanchez, Argentina

Background Since their birth the United States had two different foreign policies. Whereas they related to Europe as a peer, in America they developed a policy of expansion [310] and intervention [311] in competition with Great Britain. The US stated the Monroe Doctrine in 1823 [312] (« ...


By Rudo de Ruijter*

Sometimes money is compared with the blood of the economy. The credit crisis painfully demonstrated, that the economy depends on a permanent infusion of credits. As soon as the banks deliver a bit less credit, enterprises fail and the mass dismissals succeed each other. We are made to believe, ...


by Matthew Omolesky*

Campanilismo Edward Gibbon, describing in The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire (1776) the region of Dalmatia, “to which the name of Illyricum more properly belonged,” wrote of “very obscure countries” located in “a long, but narrow tract, between the Save and the Adriatic. The best part of the ...


Open letter to the G20 leaders, published in the Financial Times’ worldwide edition on 03/24/2009

Ladies and Gentlemen, Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a crisis that will take at least a decade to resolve, accompanied by a whole series of tragedies and ferment? Therefore, this ...


Executive summary - Seminar GlobalEurope 2020 (Moscow, December 18-19, 2008)

TABLE OF CONTENTS I- Preamble II- Strategic and operational perspective III- Work synthesis Introduction 1. EU-Russia strategic cooperation in the field of finance and economy: how to contribute to found a new sound and balanced economic and financial order? 2. EU-Russia strategic ...


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